The 2024 election season is quickly coming into its final stages, and the momentum appears to be behind the GOP.
Donald Trump has narrowed Kamala Harris’s average lead in national polls to only 0.2 points in the Real Clear Politics average. The last two polls done by The Wall Street Journal and Forbes show Trump ahead by 3 points and 2 points, respectively. In 2016, Trump trailed Clinton by 5.5 points at this point in the race, and in 2020, he trailed Biden by 8.1 points at this point in the race.
In the Real Clear Politics polling average of the top swing states, Trump is ahead by 0.9 points and leads in each individual top swing state’s average of polls.
In the Senate races, Republicans are currently expected to pick up seats in Montana and West Virginia, and there are five additional states with Democrat senators who are at risk: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Nevada. Ohio and Wisconsin seem like the likeliest places where extra pick-ups could come from. No states with GOP senators up for election are considered toss-ups at present. The most vulnerable GOP senators today are Rick Scott in Florida, Ted Cruz in Texas, and Deb Fischer in Nebraska.
The Real Clear Politics House election map has 207 seats for the GOP, 196 for Democrats, and 32 toss-ups. If the GOP wins a third of the toss-ups, it will retain control of the House.
Action Line: There’s a lot at stake for investors and all Americans in the 2024 election. Your Survival Guy will be watching. Click here to subscribe to my free monthly Survive & Thrive letter.
